This is 40 as sequel to knocked up.

We’re working really hard on turning the oceans into Perrier though.

This is a false premise. Actual expansion of oil and gas production does lower those commodity prices, but policies/events so far raise them.

• Maximizing strategic oil reserve holdings
• LNG export infrastructure, especially if he can extort international customers to buy/divert from US consumption.
• KSA vowing to invest $600B in US is a bribe to keep oil prices high. That enables funding their investment. KSA investments in past have been in non-oil industries.
• Banning wind means more FF use/demand.
• AI datacenters in US only, or massive funding for US ones, is more FF use.
• unlikely but forced extra sanctions on Russian energy
• possible regulation removal on capturing or even flaring NG from oil deposits would be aweful.

The false premise is that letting O&G pollute everything, doesn’t make it “smart” for them to overproduce, and if they do drill more, than KSA/opec can ramp up production to take more share before they come online. Producing just enough extra to keep up with demand and $70+/barrel pricing is likely.

EVs globally are eating into oil demand. China has also converted many trucks/heavy vehicles to LNG. NG and coal demand in Europe down over 10% in 2024. Peace in Ukraine would be the most significant drop in oil/diesel use foreseeable.

Very hard call. It is rainy season, but drought during rainy season. If it rains next week, problem solved. If you remove all vegetation now, and it rains next week, mud slides.

Gas transit through Ukraine has been wrought with disagreements since forever

You make your case well. If Ukrainians were human, there would be no need for expense of building nordstream 2.

God I miss the old Internet, when pulling nazi comparisons was considered gauche. Which one is it for you, a nationalistic and antisemitic historical figure, neonazis in the armed forces, or demanding that native speakers of russian also offer services in ukrainian? I’m not aware of Ukraine having ghettos or marks for jews or Russians, much less camps.

Naziism isn’t “anti jewish first”, it is anti-communist first. The socialism part of nazi is an ultra capitalist definition of trickle down prosperity. Banderites in Ukraine rever their their occupation government which promoted SS divisions, extermination camps, and ethnic massacres as it helped the Germans fight the Soviets. Hatred of Russia defines the anti-soviet explicit nazi history of Ukraine. Niceties such as peaceful independence of Ukraine (under condition of neutrality) get no points for Russia.

demanding that native speakers of russian also offer services in ukrainian?

Apartheid laws in Ukraine are much stricter than this. No Russian language rights at all, and banned cultural access. But nazi battalions shelling eastern Ukraine for 8 years needed intervention stronger than NATO justification in Kosovo, which seemed to be a both sides being assholes problem. The peaceful request for autonomy of Donbas, and Crimean secession were justifiable and necessary responses to official Ukrainian hatred of people of those regions, and State approved Odessa massacre.

Hard to return to the previous normal after seeing someone assaulting your neighbor, no matter how great their cookies are, don’t you think?

The process of stopping lies of demonization towards Russia, and heroism of US is long, especially with how ingrained the citizens programming is, but Trump can make it shorter. Usually after politicians are defeated, exposure of their CIA agency, and how they helped whitewash an evil Ukrainian puppet regime is all a process. Obviously regular direct talks with Russia, makes is easier/quicker to provide impression that it is a lesser enemy than US.

[Every EU leader’s enthusiasm] for a draft to go diminish Russia further

Macron: https://ca.news.yahoo.com/wake-spend-more-defense-macron-162130892.html also “demands volunteers to serve” https://www.euronews.com/2025/01/22/emmanuel-macron-calls-for-young-volunteers-to-reinforce-french-army

Having to respond to this war started by Russia has revealed our weakness, and our inner squabbles don’t help, US has very little to do with it.

US objectives for this war were simply: 1. No Nordstream. Only EU energy subjugation to US. 2. weapons profit grifting. EU purchases and US gifts to Ukraine. 3. Diminish Russia to the last Ukrainian, but hopefully make it last forever/longer than current expectations. That Europeans don’t understand this, and European leaders think they can say out loud to make it “to the last European to appease Trump through draft or (mandatory service you prefer)” and impose EU “peacekeepers” on Russia is simply a continuation of the madness of Russia derangement syndrome that Politicians understand/think their population are utterly captured by.

one solar panel removes more Co2 than 10 trees. (by displacing FF energy)

It should be illegal to not architect a home to maximize solar.

California has a terrible law that promotes “builder grade” solar of the minimum regulatory size, and then makes adding proper solar more expensive than if they didn’t fuck up the house intentionally.

The gas pipe projects were as much about building a mutual dependency to prevent war (again), as mutual financial benefit. Clearly it didn’t work.

2 big cases of Russia getting betrayed on that. The 2014 US Nazi installed puppet regime raised gas transit fees through Ukraine to extortionist levels. In late 2024 they chose to cut off all Russian imports, mostly out of meanness to Moldova and Slovakia. As a result of hateful 2014 policies, nordstream 2 was announced that year. Financed mostly by Germany. Not only did Germany agree to a peaceful solution against Ukrainian nazi evil, only for purposes of giving the nazis more time to arm, Germany let it’s “friends” both tell it not to use it, and destroy NS2.

like you seem to want us to, with the “pull your own weight in NATO” talk and such.

NATO is wrong direction for EU, and especially if they want the US to stay in it so badly that they destroy themselves in sycophancy. Best path for EU is to stop the Russia derangement syndrome, and return to peaceful relations they had in 2010s. EU does need to get Russia to tone down its military production, and that only happens with Ukraine neutrality, and abandoning their hatred. Everything, every EU leader has said since US election is dead wrong other than “threatening to defend Greenland”. Their enthusiasm for a draft to go diminish Russia further should alarm citizens, as just current levels of US sycophancy has significantly diminished EU during this war.

Siting them close to data centers, and connecting them to grid is easy because the utility controlled grid wants the datacenter customer. Utilities are slow to connect solar because they either own or can be bribed by existing FF plants.

A grid connection allows oversizing the solar production, and exporting. But where massive datacenter expansion strains the grid is during daytime peaks. Solar and batteries locally avoids that congestion, and then grid can provide energy and better utilize grid at night.

Okay, the prices down probably is empty words aimed at the domestic market.

Yes, filling reserves is a big price increase. Exporting to world is also less oil available to Americans, and higher prices for them.

Oil is a fungible product. If someone buys American rather than Middle-Eastern or Norwegian oil, the price of Middle-Eastern or Norwegian oil goes down to meet the demand that exists.

LNG is especially expensive compared to pipelines. Big energy to freeze and thaw it, with expensive facilities to do it. Russian LNG to Europe was still 16%. 1/3 that of US imports. US energy imports is more about being a good colony than getting the best price. I was just commenting on shipping costs, and US energy is about $1-$2/bbl more expensive than closer energy by ship.

Apparently it wasn’t, just an extortion tool by Russia, so bloody well time to cut it.

Even if your reality bubble is that Russia wasn’t forced to neutralize Ukraine, you cannot claim that it was the one who refused to sell energy to Europe. War is primarily over nordstream and US capture of EU energy.

Really, going green is our best bet, not just for climate change or other environmental damage, but sheer energy independence.

Europe has made exceptional, global leading, advances this year on this objective. Increasing electricity production, while decreasing both NG and coal use by over 10%. Key to dealing with Trump threats is to maintain that progress above all else, but hatred for Russia will likely cause more desperate US sycophancy.

Then again, if access to cheaper American oil drags down Russian economy further

1. Oil companies sponsoring Trump are not in it to make energy cheaper.
2. The policies/EOs announced directly make energy more expensive, with Americans more dependent on the extortionist oligarchs.
3. US energy is always more expensive to transport to EU than Russian or middle east energy. EU in fact is importing oil/gasoline from India which imports it from Russia, as a sick joke on its citizens for supporting war on Russia.
4. Russian economy is strong and independent such that more people/resources are being allocated to domestic needs than expanding FF exports. They myth that sanctions work on Russia who has enough allies to thrive is a delusion for war, and that Europe is winning the war instead of a US victim of it.

CO is a pollutant but not a GHG. 2019 data may be higher than EU industry’s current production.

just a way to circumvent existing laws beyond what the usual presidential EO can do?

Yes. It’s sector limited “martial law” powers. “Defense procurement act” powers to shower oligarchs with money, as “Health emergency” of covid allowed for Pharma enrichment EO policies.

Because of “energy emergency”, somehow means wind energy must be exterminated, and replaced with more expensive new FF plants. 4x more energy efficient EVs must also be curtailed, and lose their efficiency advantage through FF electricity plants.

Exporting more LNG also means making NG more expensive for Americans.

All of these actions are the opposite that would be taken if a real energy emergency existed.

3.6ppm increase

Even a 0.1ppm increase means more warming. Energy transition had excellent progress this year. Peak emissions in EU and China from electricity could be 2023. For sure in Europe, China may be about tied in 2024, but has drops in oil consumption.

The difference, to cause such extreme warming has to be other factors. Russia industrialization and Ukraine war against it, and forest fires are the obvious emission sources not under control. 2023 was first year where vegetation+soil was a source of emissions instead of a sink. 2024 is probably the same. Energy transition has to accelerate to keep up with these feedback loops, and war, and trade wars, is not a recipe for it.

1.8ppm was target consistent with 1.5C warming.

Absolutely not. Or even if it was for this year, very sharp drops in subsequent years is needed. There is hope for 2.5ppm this next year form vegetation conducivity, but that is still way too high, and above the last 10 year average which also keeps going up.

Doesn’t give the best reason clearly. Lighter vehicles need less battery weight to get a target range and get more range per kwh/kg, which also means more range per charging time. Batteries are the most expensive part of an EV, and smaller means better car performance.

Destroying and rebuilding homes (AFAIU, most destroyed were over 60 years old) is a tough option. Really, removing forest for solar is the best, only practical, solution. This should be global adaptation to high value forest homes/communities, because drought risk is everywhere.

Not sure what more they could have done. A drought during rainy season, a quick response to clear dry vegetation/trees is clearing vegetation that could rebound if it rains soon.

From climate statistics of 2024, record monthly rainfalls over 24 hours were 52% higher than average, and record low rainfalls 38% higher than average, globally. 2023 was bad too. These stats, in a non global warming world, would drop each year as the bar is higher each year. Costs of disasters are growing exceptionally.

As bad as the current global warming impact is on just the US’s sustainability from disaster/insurance spending, calls for subsidized insurance doesn’t help. It just shifts burden to tax payers/debt, and like FEMA’s historically cheap flood insurance, encourages rebuiliding where it is risky. Neither does “Insurance reform” that prevents victims from making successful claims (as in Florida).

We may already have reached a point where climate disasters cost more than the profit potential of oil industry. Certainly more than their tax payments. As more of the US is destroyed, remaining housing scarcity means higher insurance coverage. Autos artificially protected means higher prices and insurance costs. (oil) “energy dominance” policies is climate terrorism to ensure a worse outcome.

One simple “helpfulness” in rebuilding is metal roofs that last 50 years and can support solar for that long too. They are fire proof. Less forest, with utility/community solar, becomes necessary from just an insurance perspective. Also related to forest fire problem, CA electricity rates are sky high because somehow utility negligence for past fires has to be paid by state wide rate payers instead of shareholders. CA governance that is captured by utilities and insurance, fail to help CA progress and resilience.

Notice that I said Americans, not America

I don’t see any crticism of Americans on here, though I could not read your fine print, and I need to preface the rest of what I will say with I want the best for Americans.

And if I hear one more fucking person say that America only joined World War 2 after it was already over

That is an act that America did, and it was definitely motivated by ensuring control over Germany instead of USSR. No Americans were offered the freedom to not storm Normandy. Your lead comment of “Chinese/Russian agents” behind your angst is also something America would say.

That Americans/Westoids trust America in its justification for war on Russia and future war on China, that they trust America after an election where both parties conspired to elect Netanyahu’s favorite for genocide, is a problem Americans are too powerless to stop. A defining characteristic of Americans/westoids is being misinformed as a result of their trust of, and identity wrapped up in an evil America.

There is a strong likelihood that what you perceive as toxicity to Americans is toxicity towards those defending their trust of America.

2015 was last elnino (recent one ended in 2023), and all temperatures since 2015 were higher than 2015. 2023 seems to have been a step up, and 2024 follows the 2016 record (held until 2023) pattern. CO2 atmopheric increases this last year were well above the record past 10 year average.

next year it will be much less hot and all the climate deniers are going to look at the headlines like this from last year and hold snowballs and say how crazy we are are for thinking this is real.

A bold call there Cotton. There is no case for an expected downtrend in global temperatures. A 1.4C year is not a rally cry for everything is fine. A polar vortex, with snowballs, in winter does not mean a cooler global year.