The Morning Joe panel discusses recent 2024 presidential polling, including new NYT polling that has former President Trump leading President Biden in five swing states.
The Morning Joe panel discusses recent 2024 presidential polling, including new NYT polling that has former President Trump leading President Biden in five swing states.
IIRC 538 said she had a ~30% chance of losing & she did.
Closer to 20% actually IIRC but people act like anything below like 45% is basically 0 in stats for some reason. I just remind them that not only would I not play Russian roulette, I definitely wouldn’t play it with a five or (three) barrel gun. And you have a better chance of surviving that than Trump did at winning.
Lower probability is still a chance, folks!