• Can we still presume that black votes are necessarily going to go Democrat? There have been some weird minority voting outcomes in recent years, with e.g. Hispanic communities voting red despite the strongly anti-minority and anti-immigrant planks in the Republican platform. Democrats are more liberal on LGBTQ and pro-choice, and these are likely single-issue voters driven by religious decisions. We saw the same thing to a lesser degree in black communities, less starkly contrasted because of what’s at stake for Hispanic communities.

    Is the evidence this is going to benefit Democrats?