The Morning Joe panel discusses recent 2024 presidential polling, including new NYT polling that has former President Trump leading President Biden in five swing states.

  • Jaysyn@kbin.social
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    0
    ·
    4 days ago

    Democrats have been beating polls, nationwide, by 9+ points since Roe v. Wade was overturned.

    The GOP has lost 17 of their last 20 special elections, even in so called “Red” states.

    This has been going on long enough that either pollsters aren’t capable of adjusting their polling methods for the new reality or they are targeting polls on purpose to maintain a “horse race”.

    • Xhieron@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      0
      ·
      edit-2
      4 days ago

      That’s nice.

      Just to be on the safe side, better vote blue anyway.

      Democrats all the way down the ticket, national, state, and local. The Democrats are the party of human rights. That means reproductive rights, the right to privacy, the right to free expression and bodily integrity, the right to be free from government interference in one’s person and home, the right to vote, the right to criticize the government, the right to be paid a day’s wage for a day’s work and the right to bargain collectively for it, and the right to believe and practice or not practice the faith of your choosing, even if it offends the fascists in your local church.

      Vote blue and save the Republic, polls be damned.

    • bolexforsoup@lemmy.blahaj.zone
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      0
      ·
      edit-2
      4 days ago

      Special elections have a smaller turnout that skews towards the more politically active, which means it skews towards the more educated, which means it skews Democrat. And some of these special elections had literally less than 10,000 people voting.

      It doesn’t explain everything, but I would not look at the special elections as a bellwether for the general.

      • Jaysyn@kbin.social
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        0
        ·
        4 days ago

        A special election in deep red Alabama going to a Democrat woman that specifically ran on abortion access may not be a “bellweather”, but it’s absolutely an alarm for the #fascist #GOP.

        But yes, the beating polls by 9+ points at the ballot box is the important part.

    • Passerby6497@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      0
      ·
      edit-2
      4 days ago

      they are targeting polls on purpose to maintain a “horse race”.

      This one right here. Maintaining a horse race makes people think the candidates are struggling against each other and increases eyeballs and engagement, which is more money for them.

      When it comes to media, follow the money and Occam’s razor for the answer to questions like that.