I appreciate that a state is working on this now even though he’s not the nominee yet. It’s an open legal question and it needs to be determined to truly give Republican voters the chance to decide who their nominee should be. If he’s going to be disqualified it should be now.

It’s not assuming he is making random picks. It’s saying that the stock market is a random walk, which is just a fact. He is making picks based on a system, but if that system was actually proven to find underpriced stocks, everyone/enough people would also follow the same strategy and build that value into the price, removing whatever advantage he once had.

If he’s successful because he’s a “value” investor, why aren’t all of the other “value” investors just as famous and successful? It’s because the difference between two people doing the same thing, is luck.

People who like Trump as reported by the media: “This regular Joe is such a hardcore Trump nut he’s selling his kidney to pay for a Trump NFT even though Trump pledged specifically to put him in a concentration camp.”

People who like Biden as reported by the media: “Conformist Dem might bother voting for Biden can you believe this nerd?”

The polling average is 47/44 Trump, a margin of error apart with 9% undecided and Trump has a pretty huge downside possibility what with the federal and state charges headed his way. It’s close.

That’s the thing with odds though. In any random chance distribution of 100 people, there will be 1 ranked higher than the other 99. We as a society ignore the 99 and focus on the 1 “genius” but statistically someone was going to be in that spot. If he wasn’t lucky he just wouldn’t be famous.

Christian and his wife, Bridget, were planning to have a consensual sexual encounter with the alleged victim, whom the couple has known for 20 years. The woman tried to cancel once she learned that Bridget would not be coming. Christian, however, went to the woman’s apartment and then raped her

Yikes. Obviously yes, resign and get prosecuted.

Classic legal defense in a country that constitutionally cannot favor one religion over another, “it was illegal but we favor your religion to prevail over this other one so it’s fine.”

I understand since I bet they do have a ton of rural white men as members, but as a union it really seems like the causation should go the other way.

A generation ago the union would tell you who to vote for and you just did it because the union was your primary identity. The math on which party is more pro-union hasn’t changed, just the priority people put on their membership vs other identity groups (or the politicizing of those other identity groups in the case of Evangelicals).

Call Green Day, the Eternal September is finally ending.

They won’t see all of it but they’ll get something. It’ll get reduced in appeal and then he’ll declare bankruptcy and it’ll get reduced more and put in a payment plan but I can’t see a bankruptcy judge letting him off from this entirely.

Still plenty for a normal person to receive $300k/yr or something.

Which part? I’m not saying anything particularly confidently but I think this is the most likely scenario.

If it’s not illegal to add, the only risk is bad press coverage, and it might prevent someone from suing in the first place because they don’t know their rights.

I think this is very possibly true, I think most voters wave away accusations of their preferred political candidate but actually believe jury trial results. The subset where that flips their vote is smaller, I believe the 6% that one poll found. But that’s plenty to flip an election, all else equal.

The scary part is that there are other factors. If Trump gets convicted on one or two of the charges and also the economy goes into an unexpected downturn close to the election like in 2008, Trump might get elected anyway and that’s a really bad precedent.

Paul Ryan isn’t always wrong.

When Panera doesn’t pay their employees enough, it’s hard to motivate people. When Nvidia pays their employees a lot, it’s hard to motivate people.

If we have to pick one, pick the one that allows you to hire basically anyone you want, and hire new people who are motivated.

Wait a minute could our society be sexist?

I’m not seeing anything illegal listed here? Is the lack of disclosure a legal problem or a loophole he’s exploiting? Seems more like the latter.

Regardless, it does not actually change anything about Hunter. They can both break the law or not and it’s not dependent on each other.

So ListenBrainz is a music app? I don’t know what Last.fm is. Seems like Pandora maybe?

I’ll download it if they’re providing a service like music recommendation, not really seeing the benefit to me if they just record the data.

The White House can and has denied and blocked subpoenas related to impeachment inquiries that did not have a formal vote. It is official policy of both Trump and Biden White Houses that formal impeachment imbues additional powers.

There’s a thin line where Biden gets helpful money for the border with non-inhumane policy adjustments, gets to brag on the campaign trail about working with Republicans to help the border issue, and also gets money for Ukraine to at least keep them from collapsing before the election.

But I’m intensely concerned there’s going to be some horrible and illegal-under-international-law change Republicans demand that gets agreed to because the rest is the above rosy picture for Biden. Republicans “win” politically if none of that happens so I’d expect there’s a pound of flesh to be demanded somewhere.

I want forever House oversight. If they misuse the power they’ll get punished politically like the Republicans during the Clinton impeachment.

Don’t let the current party holding each house/office color your view of the structural issues. Too much power has been vested in the Execitive Branch and that is bad.