He’s claimed before that he honestly believes it each year by watching the progress the past X months, but suddenly all progress stops as their method hits a plateau. So they keep changing methods.
It’s probably an honest mistake the first time or two, but he’s done this every year since and has no credibility anymore.
After being wrong by a year or two, he should have explained what was going in, and shut up about it, with a simple I don’t know when it’ll be ready but you should see forward progress each year.
The part of the claim here where they wouldn’t upgrade the cameras is a part that I’m highly interested in.
I don’t expect tesla to upgrade any hardware beyond what they believe is required which they claim hardware 3 is.
But the moment a hardware 3 car can’t flip a switch and become level 3/4 SAE autonomous and a hardware 4, 5, 6 or whatever it is if/when solved is required, I think there’s a massive lawsuit there unless Tesla somehow upgrades the cars.
Suddenly the car didn’t come with the hardware required and can’t function as described, especially back when it was announced.
Tesla will say, oh we’ll get it working on HW3 next year… and try to kick the can to avoid liability, but I don’t think that will work long.
Edit: and as per the ruling, it sounds like the new knowledge that the car can’t on HW3 but can on others, would trigger new knowledge opening up past the statute of limitations